Kelty Hearts 0-2 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 7 Oct 2025

📅07/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.37
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.23
6+ Goals
8%
11.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
50%
Away Win
50%
+0.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 54%
-12% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
0.77/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.62
-37% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
6 Crosses 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
07.12.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-2 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
21.09.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
19.03.2024 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 2-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
09.03.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 3-0 HT 1-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
21.10.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 3-1 HT 1-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic beat Kelty Hearts 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alloa Athletic as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kelty Hearts and 2.00 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Alloa Athletic?

Kelty Hearts 0-2 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 07/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 26%, draw 25%, Alloa Athletic 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alloa Athletic) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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