Bristol Rovers 2-1 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 7 Mar 2026

Bristol Rovers
2-1 HT 0-1
Crewe Alexandra
📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Bristol Rovers vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
13.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.23
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
13%
5.14
X/2
15%
6.28
X/X
9%
4.57
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
17%
4.41
2/X
8%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.0 — our 6% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bristol Rovers v Crewe Alexandra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.17/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.26
-22% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
19.0 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Bristol Rovers vs Crewe Alexandra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol Rovers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.55 xG 1.57
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
285 Passes 257
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.12.2025 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-1 HT 1-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN2
12.12.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-4 HT 0-3 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers FAK
01.05.2021 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN1
19.01.2021 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-2 HT 2-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
09.04.2012 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-0 HT 2-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN2
31.12.2011 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-5 HT 1-4 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2

Bristol Rovers 2-1 Crewe Alexandra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol Rovers
2-1
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.27 xG 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
245 Passes 165
70% Pass Accuracy 62%
24 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bristol Rovers vs Crewe Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol Rovers squeezed past Crewe Alexandra 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Bristol Rovers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bristol Rovers had 57% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 43%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.27 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bristol Rovers and 2.50 for Crewe Alexandra.

What was the final score of Bristol Rovers vs Crewe Alexandra?

Bristol Rovers 2-1 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol Rovers vs Crewe Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bristol Rovers 39%, draw 24%, Crewe Alexandra 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bristol Rovers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bristol Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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