Gillingham 1-1 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.68
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
18.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.12
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
15%
4.86
X/2
17%
6.56
X/X
13%
4.19
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
10%
4.94
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gillingham EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.42/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.37
-7% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 70%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
23.8 Crosses 17.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gillingham
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 1.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
205 Passes 250
62% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2025 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
25.02.2025 Gillingham Gillingham 1-2 HT 1-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN2
24.08.2024 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
18.04.2022 Gillingham Gillingham 0-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
11.12.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
09.03.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gillingham
1-1
AWAY Fleetwood Town
0.33 xG 1.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
124 Passes 310
50% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gillingham and Fleetwood Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Gillingham had 36% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 64%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.33 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gillingham and 1.17 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town?

Gillingham 1-1 Fleetwood Town in the England - 2nd Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 39%, draw 27%, Fleetwood Town 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gillingham), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gillingham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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