Crawley Town 2-2 Swindon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.72
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
9.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.73
1/2 EV+ ✗
14%
23.1
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
13%
6.94
X/2
11%
4.99
X/X
12%
5.13
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
21%
2.85
2/X
6%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.1 — our 14% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Town EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -7%
1.22/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.30
+10% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 76%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
17.2 Crosses 21.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crawley Town
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Swindon Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.47 xG 1.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
333 Passes 326
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.12.2025 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
13.08.2024 Crawley Town Crawley Town 4-2 HT 1-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İNLK
01.01.2024 Crawley Town Crawley Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
26.08.2023 Swindon Town Swindon Town 6-0 HT 1-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
08.05.2023 Swindon Town Swindon Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
03.12.2022 Crawley Town Crawley Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crawley Town
2-2
AWAY Swindon Town
0.86 xG 2.72
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
242 Passes 165
68% Pass Accuracy 60%
36 Box Touches 19
34 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Crawley Town vs Swindon Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crawley Town and Swindon Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Swindon Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Crawley Town had 58% of the ball to Swindon Town's 42%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 0.86 to 2.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Crawley Town and 2.00 for Swindon Town.

What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Swindon Town?

Crawley Town 2-2 Swindon Town in the England - 2nd Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Swindon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Swindon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 29%, draw 25%, Swindon Town 46%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swindon Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swindon Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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