Luzern II 3-1 Bavois — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
Over Pick
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.34
No
46%
2.99
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
39%
4-5
26%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
33%
+3.9pp
17%
Draw
22%
-5.4pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
71%
-17.0pp
46%
BTTS No
29%
+17.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern II The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bavois The Market 49%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.21/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/0.88
-24% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +75%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
293 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern II
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Bavois
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.08.2025 Bavois 3-1 HT 1-0 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
27.11.2024 Bavois 0-1 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
04.08.2024 Luzern II Luzern II 0-3 HT 0-1 Bavois İSV1Y
17.04.2024 Bavois 5-2 HT 2-2 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
14.10.2023 Luzern II Luzern II 4-3 HT 2-0 Bavois İSV1Y
REVIEW Luzern II vs Bavois
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Luzern II beat Bavois 3-1.

We leaned Bavois at 46% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bavois led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Luzern II and 2.80 for Bavois.

Luzern II vs Bavois Result & Final Score

Luzern II 3-1 Bavois in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Luzern II vs Bavois Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Bavois win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Luzern II 37%, draw 17%, Bavois 46%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bavois) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bavois) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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