Novara vs Pergolettese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Novara v Pergolettese — Team-Based Signals
Novara vs Pergolettese Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Pergolettese
İTC
1-2
HT 1-2
Pergolettese
İTC
Novara 1-1 Pergolettese — Actual Match Statistics
Novara and Pergolettese shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Novara at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Novara had 62% of the ball to Pergolettese's 38%, shots finished 14-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novara had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Novara and 1.33 for Pergolettese.
What was the final score of Novara vs Pergolettese?
Novara 1-1 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Novara vs Pergolettese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Novara 45%, draw 29%, Pergolettese 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Novara) went the other way.