Lehnerz 2-1 Mainz 05 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lehnerz EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -38%
1.19/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.89
-25% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lehnerz
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mainz 05 II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.09.2025 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-2 HT 0-0 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
27.04.2025 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 0-1 HT 0-1 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
26.10.2024 Lehnerz Lehnerz 1-0 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
23.03.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-3 HT 2-1 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
16.09.2023 Lehnerz Lehnerz 2-1 HT 1-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
10.12.2022 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-1 HT 0-1 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
FAQ Lehnerz vs Mainz 05 II
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lehnerz edged past Mainz 05 II 2-1 in the Germany - Regional League on 7 Mar 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lehnerz have the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lehnerz and 1.00 for Mainz 05 II.

What was the final score of Lehnerz vs Mainz 05 II?

Lehnerz 2-1 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lehnerz vs Mainz 05 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lehnerz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lehnerz 39%, draw 28%, Mainz 05 II 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lehnerz), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lehnerz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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