SGV Freiberg 2-0 Astoria Walldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
19%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.55
No
37%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
52%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-4.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.7pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Astoria Walldorf EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.84/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.82
-6% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SGV Freiberg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Astoria Walldorf
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.09.2025 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 1-3 HT 1-1 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
16.11.2024 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 2-4 HT 0-2 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
23.03.2024 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 2-0 HT 1-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
16.09.2023 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 1-2 HT 1-1 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
18.03.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 1-1 HT 0-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
09.09.2022 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 3-1 HT 2-1 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH SGV Freiberg vs Astoria Walldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SGV Freiberg beat Astoria Walldorf 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SGV Freiberg as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SGV Freiberg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for SGV Freiberg and 1.33 for Astoria Walldorf.

What was the final score of SGV Freiberg vs Astoria Walldorf?

SGV Freiberg 2-0 Astoria Walldorf in the Germany - Regional League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SGV Freiberg vs Astoria Walldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split SGV Freiberg 57%, draw 24%, Astoria Walldorf 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SGV Freiberg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SGV Freiberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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