Caerau (Ely) 4-1 Afan Lido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
75%
1.32
Draw
15%
4.81
Away
10%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.72
No
46%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
46%
4-5
24%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
1%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Caerau (Ely) The Market 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Afan Lido The Market 14%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.91 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.78
0.80 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.09
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Strong
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
491 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caerau (Ely)
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Afan Lido
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
31.10.2025 Afan Lido Afan Lido 3-2 HT 1-0 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALFAW
22.11.2024 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 3-0 HT 0-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
07.09.2024 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-2 HT 1-1 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALFAW
01.04.2024 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 3-2 HT 0-2 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
17.10.2023 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 4-1 HT 3-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALWK
08.08.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 3-1 HT 0-1 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALFAW
REVIEW Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Caerau (Ely) cruised past Afan Lido 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caerau (Ely) as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 54% and both teams to score at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caerau (Ely) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Caerau (Ely) against 1.83 for Afan Lido.

Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido Result & Final Score

Caerau (Ely) 4 - 1 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Caerau (Ely) 75%, draw 15%, Afan Lido 10%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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