Jarun 4-0 Croatia Zmijavci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.3pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 29%
-26% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
0.97/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.29
-27% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2025 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 2-2 HT 1-2 Jarun Jarun HIR2
04.05.2025 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 0-1 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
22.02.2025 Jarun Jarun 1-1 HT 1-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
29.09.2024 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 HT 1-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
03.12.2023 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 HT 1-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
4-0
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Croatia Zmijavci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarun ran out comfortable winners over Croatia Zmijavci 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jarun as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Jarun had 46% of the ball to Croatia Zmijavci's 54%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Croatia Zmijavci led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Jarun and 1.00 for Croatia Zmijavci.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Jarun 4-0 Croatia Zmijavci in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarun win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jarun 43%, draw 31%, Croatia Zmijavci 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jarun), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jarun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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