Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Atletico Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sporting Cristal v Alianza Atletico — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Atletico Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sporting Cristal 3-1 Alianza Atletico — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Cristal got the better of Alianza Atletico 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 52% and both teams to score at 48%. At 1.71 (~58%), the under-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
Under the surface, Sporting Cristal had 67% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 33%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 2.01 to 1.77.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sporting Cristal and 0.50 for Alianza Atletico.
Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Atletico Result & Final Score
Sporting Cristal 3-1 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sporting Cristal vs Alianza Atletico Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 59%, draw 24%, Alianza Atletico 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.