Comerciantes Unidos vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Comerciantes Unidos v UTC Cajamarca — Team-Based Signals
Comerciantes Unidos vs UTC Cajamarca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Comerciantes Unidos 1-2 UTC Cajamarca — Actual Match Statistics
UTC Cajamarca squeezed past Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 on their travels. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; UTC Cajamarca found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 51%. The market went further still — the under-2.5 price closed at 1.62, about 62%.
Under the surface, Comerciantes Unidos had 35% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 65%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.32 to 1.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold UTC Cajamarca's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UTC Cajamarca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.50 for UTC Cajamarca.
Comerciantes Unidos vs UTC Cajamarca Result & Final Score
Comerciantes Unidos 1-2 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Comerciantes Unidos vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Comerciantes Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 40%, draw 26%, UTC Cajamarca 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos), Under 2.5 went the other way.