Korona Kielce 2-1 Nieciecza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
8.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.14
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
18%
4.33
X/2
7%
9.41
X/X
14%
5.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.8
2/2
12%
7.0
2/X
5%
15.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.8 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.62/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.74
+2% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
16.7 Crosses 17.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korona Kielce
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Nieciecza
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.70 xG 0.66
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
359 Passes 286
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
42 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.08.2025 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-3 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
06.09.2024 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-2 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce HAZ
05.05.2021 Nieciecza Nieciecza 6-2 HT 3-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL1
30.09.2020 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-3 HT 0-2 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
11.02.2018 Nieciecza Nieciecza 0-3 HT 0-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
26.08.2017 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-1 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Korona Kielce
2-1
AWAY Nieciecza
1.71 xG 1.66
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
294 Passes 265
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 38
23 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Korona Kielce vs Nieciecza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Korona Kielce squeezed past Nieciecza 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Korona Kielce as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Korona Kielce had 51% of the ball to Nieciecza's 49%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.71 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Korona Kielce had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Korona Kielce and 2.00 for Nieciecza.

What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Nieciecza?

Korona Kielce 2-1 Nieciecza in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korona Kielce vs Nieciecza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Korona Kielce win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 51%, draw 24%, Nieciecza 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Korona Kielce), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Korona Kielce) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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