Piast Gliwice 1-3 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.97
6+ Goals
11%
19.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.68
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
15%
4.45
X/2
11%
7.67
X/X
12%
4.18
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
13%
6.19
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -15%
1.39/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.67
-5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.4 Crosses 17.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.52 xG 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
344 Passes 375
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2025 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-2 HT 1-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
01.03.2025 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 HT 0-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
24.08.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
15.04.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-0 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
07.10.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
12.02.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 HT 0-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
1-3
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.39 xG 0.57
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 7
357 Passes 127
81% Pass Accuracy 59%
36 Box Touches 12
30 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Zaglebie Lubin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin beat Piast Gliwice 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Piast Gliwice at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 67% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 33%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.39 to 0.57 — the balance of chances actually favoured Piast Gliwice.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Piast Gliwice and 0.50 for Zaglebie Lubin.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Piast Gliwice 1-3 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 46%, draw 24%, Zaglebie Lubin 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Piast Gliwice), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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