Widzew Lodz 2-1 Lech Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.15
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
10%
13.05
X/1
15%
5.12
X/2
7%
6.28
X/X
11%
4.94
2/1
9%
24.8
2/2
23%
4.3
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
1.28/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.51
-20% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
21.3 Crosses 15.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lech Poznan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.55 xG 1.35
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
283 Passes 458
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 2-1 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
31.01.2025 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 4-1 HT 2-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
27.07.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-1 HT 2-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
19.05.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 1-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
26.11.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-3 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
19.03.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-2 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
2-1
AWAY Lech Poznan
0.68 xG 0.85
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
148 Passes 492
68% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Widzew Lodz edged past Lech Poznan 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Widzew Lodz made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 29% of the ball to Lech Poznan's 71%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.68 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Widzew Lodz and 1.83 for Lech Poznan.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan?

Widzew Lodz 2-1 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Lech Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 37%, draw 27%, Lech Poznan 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Widzew Lodz), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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