Zaglebie Lubin 2-2 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.54
2-3 Goals
43%
1.69
4-5 Goals
22%
4.06
6+ Goals
10%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.78
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
14%
5.44
X/2
9%
5.73
X/X
13%
3.94
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
31.5
2/2
21%
4.1
2/X
7%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.5 — our 9% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.43/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.37
+4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
21.0 Crosses 18.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 1.53
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
386 Passes 316
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 HT 0-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
24.08.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
15.04.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-0 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
07.10.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
12.02.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 HT 0-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
29.07.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
2-2
AWAY Piast Gliwice
2.70 xG 0.81
30% Ball Possession 70%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
188 Passes 509
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin and Piast Gliwice shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin had 30% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 70%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 2.70 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Zaglebie Lubin and 1.17 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice?

Zaglebie Lubin 2-2 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin 36%, draw 26%, Piast Gliwice 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Piast Gliwice), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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