ATK Mohun Bagan 2-0 Jamshedpur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
60%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
5.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.6
6+ Goals
11%
6.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.1 — our 24% vs market 14.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
ATK Mohun Bagan win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
67%
-7.1pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.4pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.7pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 17%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +23%
1.53/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.41
+23% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.4 Crosses 17.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jamshedpur
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.48 xG 0.63
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
366 Passes 210
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.04.2025 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 2-1 HT 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
17.01.2025 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 1-1 HT 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
23.11.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 3-0 HT 2-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
01.03.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 3-0 HT 1-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
01.11.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 2-3 HT 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
14.04.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 3-0 HT 2-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HINSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
2-0
AWAY Jamshedpur
2.58 xG 0.43
74% Ball Possession 26%
35 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
483 Passes 135
86% Pass Accuracy 64%
42 Box Touches 10
39 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs Jamshedpur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan saw off Jamshedpur 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, ATK Mohun Bagan had 74% of the ball to Jamshedpur's 26%, shots finished 35-10, expected goals 2.58 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for ATK Mohun Bagan and 1.33 for Jamshedpur.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs Jamshedpur?

ATK Mohun Bagan 2-0 Jamshedpur in the India - Super League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Jamshedpur?

Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 59%, draw 19%, Jamshedpur 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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