Municipal Liberia 1-1 Puntarenas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.2pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.49/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.82
+10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +45%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Puntarenas FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
20.10.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 4-2 HT 1-1 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
20.07.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
01.04.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
26.01.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-1 HT 1-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
12.11.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-0 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
1-1
AWAY Puntarenas FC
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Puntarenas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia and Puntarenas FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 55% of the ball to Puntarenas FC's 45%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal Liberia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Municipal Liberia and 1.00 for Puntarenas FC.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Puntarenas FC?

Municipal Liberia 1-1 Puntarenas FC in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Puntarenas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 39%, draw 23%, Puntarenas FC 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Municipal Liberia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
7 Apr 2025
03:00 Alajuelense vs Santos de Guapiles Analysis →