Alajuelense vs Santos de Guapiles Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alajuelense v Santos de Guapiles — Team-Based Signals
Alajuelense vs Santos de Guapiles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Alajuelense 2-0 Santos de Guapiles — Actual Match Statistics
Alajuelense beat Santos de Guapiles 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Alajuelense had 66% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 34%, shots finished 10-1.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alajuelense and 0.33 for Santos de Guapiles.
What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Santos de Guapiles?
Alajuelense 2-0 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Santos de Guapiles?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 51%, draw 26%, Santos de Guapiles 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.