Atletico Nacional 2-1 Jaguares De Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 7 Apr 2026

📅07/04/2026 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.28
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
74%
-3.0pp
17%
Draw
16%
+0.7pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.2pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.68/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.55
+19% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
409 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 74%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.7
19.0 Crosses 11.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.38 xG 1.34
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
394 Passes 268
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 HT 1-1 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOLK
20.10.2024 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 1-3 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOLK
01.09.2024 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
28.03.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
30.07.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 HT 1-1 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
05.02.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Nacional
2-1
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
0.94 xG 0.86
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
353 Passes 372
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares De Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional edged past Jaguares De Cordoba 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Nacional had 51% of the ball to Jaguares De Cordoba's 49%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 0.94 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico Nacional and 0.83 for Jaguares De Cordoba.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Atletico Nacional 2-1 Jaguares De Cordoba in the Colombia - Primera on 07/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 71%, draw 17%, Jaguares De Cordoba 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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