AlbinoLeffe 1-3 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.74
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.93
6+ Goals
9%
18.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 34% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-6.8pp
35%
Draw
29%
+6.7pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
0.93/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.08
-25% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AlbinoLeffe
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Atalanta II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2025 Atalanta II Atalanta II 1-1 HT 1-1 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
12.10.2024 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 2-2 HT 1-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
13.02.2024 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-1 HT 0-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
07.10.2023 Atalanta II Atalanta II 1-1 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AlbinoLeffe
1-3
AWAY Atalanta II
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AlbinoLeffe vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II saw off AlbinoLeffe 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 35% / 32%) promised a tight game; Atalanta II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AlbinoLeffe had 42% of the ball to Atalanta II's 58%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atalanta II led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AlbinoLeffe and 1.25 for Atalanta II.

What was the final score of AlbinoLeffe vs Atalanta II?

AlbinoLeffe 1-3 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AlbinoLeffe vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split AlbinoLeffe 32%, draw 35%, Atalanta II 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
7 May 2025
21:00 Renate vs GIANA Erminio Analysis →
21:00 Arezzo vs Vis Pesaro Analysis →
21:00 Crotone vs Juventus II Analysis →
21:00 Catania vs Rossoblu Potenza Analysis →
21:00 Pescara vs Pianese Analysis →