Renate 1-2 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.57
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.1
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
5.46
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
35%
-6.8pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.9pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +17%
0.98/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.50
-16% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +124%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
3W-0D-3L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2025 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-1 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
13.09.2024 Renate Renate 1-0 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
16.12.2023 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-1 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
26.03.2022 Renate Renate 3-1 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
21.11.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-1 HT 0-1 Renate Renate İTC
28.03.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-1 HT 1-1 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
1-2
AWAY GIANA Erminio
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Renate vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio nicked a narrow win over Renate 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (28% / 33% / 38%) promised a tight game; GIANA Erminio found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Renate had 40% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 60%, shots finished 6-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Renate and 1.17 for GIANA Erminio.

What was the final score of Renate vs GIANA Erminio?

Renate 1-2 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated an GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Renate 28%, draw 33%, GIANA Erminio 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GIANA Erminio) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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