Pescara 2-1 Pianese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 28% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pescara EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Pianese EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.03/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.50
+19% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pescara
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Pianese
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.01.2025 Pianese Pianese 3-2 HT 2-0 Pescara Pescara İTC
16.09.2024 Pescara Pescara 2-1 HT 0-1 Pianese Pianese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pescara
2-1
AWAY Pianese
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pescara vs Pianese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara edged past Pianese 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pescara as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Pescara had 54% of the ball to Pianese's 46%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pescara and 2.00 for Pianese.

What was the final score of Pescara vs Pianese?

Pescara 2-1 Pianese in the Italy - Serie C on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pescara vs Pianese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Pescara 56%, draw 24%, Pianese 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pescara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pescara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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