Arezzo 0-1 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 May 2025

📅07/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
21%
3.11
Away
34%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.55
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.23
6+ Goals
9%
21.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 35% vs market 31.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.4pp
21%
Draw
29%
-7.7pp
34%
Away Win
22%
+12.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.9pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arezzo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +22%
1.73/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.31
+21% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arezzo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Vis Pesaro
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
06.01.2025 Arezzo Arezzo 0-0 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
02.09.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 3-0 HT 2-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
11.08.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-3 HT 1-2 Arezzo Arezzo İTCK
10.03.2024 Arezzo Arezzo 2-1 HT 1-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
05.11.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-1 HT 0-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
11.04.2021 Arezzo Arezzo 4-2 HT 3-1 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arezzo
0-1
AWAY Vis Pesaro
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arezzo vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vis Pesaro squeezed past Arezzo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Arezzo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arezzo had 59% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 41%, shots finished 23-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arezzo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Arezzo and 1.33 for Vis Pesaro.

What was the final score of Arezzo vs Vis Pesaro?

Arezzo 0-1 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 07/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 45%, draw 21%, Vis Pesaro 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arezzo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arezzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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