GIANA Erminio 2-1 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.05
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
5.5
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.9pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.9pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +37%
1.09/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.09
-10% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIANA Erminio
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Renate
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Renate Renate 1-0 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
16.12.2023 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-1 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
26.03.2022 Renate Renate 3-1 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
21.11.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-1 HT 0-1 Renate Renate İTC
28.03.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-1 HT 1-1 Renate Renate İTC
05.12.2020 Renate Renate 4-0 HT 2-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
2-1
AWAY Renate
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio nicked a narrow win over Renate 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day GIANA Erminio made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 53% of the ball to Renate's 47%, shots finished 17-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Renate led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for GIANA Erminio and 1.83 for Renate.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Renate?

GIANA Erminio 2-1 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 36%, draw 28%, Renate 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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