Virtus Verona 1-3 FeralpiSalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
36%
3.45
Away
42%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.09
No
44%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.5
2-3 Goals
47%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.21
6+ Goals
7%
21.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.7pp
36%
Draw
26%
+10.2pp
42%
Away Win
56%
-13.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
44%
+12.3pp
44%
BTTS No
56%
-12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 60%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.87/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.65
-9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +22%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
237 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Verona
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FeralpiSalo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
29.01.2023 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 0-2 HT 0-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
24.09.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-1 HT 0-1 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
20.03.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-0 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
14.11.2021 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-1 HT 0-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
19.05.2021 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-1 HT 1-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Verona
1-3
AWAY FeralpiSalo
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Virtus Verona vs FeralpiSalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo beat Virtus Verona 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had FeralpiSalo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Virtus Verona had 51% of the ball to FeralpiSalo's 49%, shots finished 6-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Virtus Verona and 0.67 for FeralpiSalo.

What was the final score of Virtus Verona vs FeralpiSalo?

Virtus Verona 1-3 FeralpiSalo in the Italy - Serie C on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Verona vs FeralpiSalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Virtus Verona 22%, draw 36%, FeralpiSalo 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FeralpiSalo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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