Atalanta II 3-1 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.8pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +13%
0.98/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.20
-24% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta II
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Triestina
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2024 Triestina Triestina 1-5 HT 1-2 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
03.04.2024 Triestina Triestina 1-1 HT 0-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
05.12.2023 Atalanta II Atalanta II 2-1 HT 2-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
3-1
AWAY Triestina
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II beat Triestina 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atalanta II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Atalanta II had 50% of the ball to Triestina's 50%, shots finished 11-17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atalanta II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Atalanta II and 1.00 for Triestina.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Triestina?

Atalanta II 3-1 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 45%, draw 22%, Triestina 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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