Pro Vercelli 2-1 Caldiero Terme — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.66
6+ Goals
10%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldiero Terme EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.28/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.23
-10% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Vercelli
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Caldiero Terme
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2024 Caldiero Terme 4-1 HT 2-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Vercelli
2-1
AWAY Caldiero Terme
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pro Vercelli vs Caldiero Terme
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Vercelli nicked a narrow win over Caldiero Terme 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Pro Vercelli found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pro Vercelli had 44% of the ball to Caldiero Terme's 56%, shots finished 12-4.

What was the final score of Pro Vercelli vs Caldiero Terme?

Pro Vercelli 2-1 Caldiero Terme in the Italy - Serie C on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Vercelli vs Caldiero Terme?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Vercelli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pro Vercelli 39%, draw 29%, Caldiero Terme 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pro Vercelli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pro Vercelli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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