Deportes Tolima 3-0 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 7 May 2026

📅07/05/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.45
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.48
6+ Goals
7%
24.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.7
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
4%
13.85
X/1
17%
4.36
X/2
10%
7.64
X/X
11%
3.98
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
10%
6.4
2/X
11%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 28%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.30/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.76
-17% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
16.1 Crosses 17.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Tolima
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nacional de Football
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.40 xG 1.70
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
377 Passes 228
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
8 Box Touches 21
5 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 3
15.04.2026 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-1 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima LKU
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima ran out comfortable winners over Nacional de Football 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Nacional de Football?

Deportes Tolima 3-0 Nacional de Football in the Copa Libertadores on 07/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 47%, draw 26%, Nacional de Football 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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