Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 Bolivar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 7 May 2026

📅07/05/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.38
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.65
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.71
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
9%
6.1
X/2
12%
5.02
X/X
17%
3.76
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
19%
3.49
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.8pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.4pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivar EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
0.26/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.53
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -54%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
10.0 Crosses 15.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bolivar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.24 xG 2.04
28% Ball Possession 72%
4 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 15
142 Passes 432
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
3 Box Touches 31
4 Crosses 41
0 Yellow Cards 1
15.04.2026 Bolivar Bolivar 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
1-1
AWAY Bolivar
1.25 xG 1.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
254 Passes 281
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolivar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira and Bolivar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (30% / 33% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 47% of the ball to Bolivar's 53%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.25 to 1.27.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolivar?

Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 Bolivar in the Copa Libertadores on 07/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolivar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 30%, draw 33%, Bolivar 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bolivar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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