Santa Fe 1-1 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 7 May 2026

Santa Fe
1-1 HT 0-0
Corinthians
📅07/05/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Copa Libertadores – 2026

Santa Fe vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.38
Over 2.5
36%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
13%
6.67
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.1
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
8%
5.97
X/2
12%
4.86
X/X
22%
3.16
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.73
2/X
5%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.4pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
69%
-5.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
31%
+5.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.6pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Fe v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 40%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.49/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.99
-28% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
28.4 Crosses 11.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Santa Fe vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Corinthians
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.38 xG 1.23
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
235 Passes 370
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.04.2026 Corinthians Corinthians 2-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe LKU
07.04.2016 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians LKU
03.03.2016 Corinthians Corinthians 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe LKU

Santa Fe 1-1 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
1-1
AWAY Corinthians
1.38 xG 0.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
242 Passes 359
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe and Corinthians couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 33% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Santa Fe had 41% of the ball to Corinthians's 59%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.38 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Corinthians led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Santa Fe and 1.33 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Corinthians?

Santa Fe 1-1 Corinthians in the Copa Libertadores on 07/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 32%, draw 33%, Corinthians 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Corinthians), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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