Corinthians vs Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Corinthians
LKU
1-0
HT 0-0
Santa Fe
LKU
Corinthians 2-0 Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians got the better of Santa Fe 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Corinthians had 66% of the ball to Santa Fe's 34%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.23 to 0.38.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Corinthians and 0.50 for Santa Fe.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Santa Fe?
Corinthians 2-0 Santa Fe in the Copa Libertadores on 16/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Santa Fe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 59%, draw 23%, Santa Fe 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.