Independiente Del Valle 3-1 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 16 Apr 2026

📅16/04/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.32
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
14%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
71%
-2.8pp
17%
Draw
18%
-0.8pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.1pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.92/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.74
-4% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -38%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
26.7 Crosses 13.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
3-1
AWAY UCV
3.61 xG 1.94
67% Ball Possession 33%
33 Total Shots 13
13 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
432 Passes 174
91% Pass Accuracy 74%
45 Box Touches 16
42 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle beat UCV 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 67% of the ball to UCV's 33%, shots finished 33-13, expected goals 3.61 to 1.94.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs UCV?

Independiente Del Valle 3-1 UCV in the Copa Libertadores on 16/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 69%, draw 17%, UCV 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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