Libertad 0-1 Rosario Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 16 Apr 2026

📅16/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
22%
+11.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-8.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.5pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 52%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.55/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.00
-29% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.1 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rosario Central
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.08 xG 0.73
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
362 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2019 Rosario Central Rosario Central 2-1 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad LKU
05.04.2019 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
0-1
AWAY Rosario Central
0.36 xG 1.25
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
179 Passes 446
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 39
18 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Rosario Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosario Central squeezed past Libertad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Rosario Central found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Libertad had 33% of the ball to Rosario Central's 67%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.36 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Libertad and 1.00 for Rosario Central.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Rosario Central?

Libertad 0-1 Rosario Central in the Copa Libertadores on 16/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Rosario Central?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Libertad 34%, draw 26%, Rosario Central 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosario Central), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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