Fluminense vs Independiente Rivadavia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Independiente Rivadavia — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense 1-2 Independiente Rivadavia — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Rivadavia edged past Fluminense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Fluminense at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fluminense had 71% of the ball to Independiente Rivadavia's 29%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.27 to 0.80 — the balance of chances actually favoured Fluminense.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Independiente Rivadavia?
Fluminense 1-2 Independiente Rivadavia in the Copa Libertadores on 16/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Independiente Rivadavia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 53%, draw 26%, Independiente Rivadavia 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.