Independiente Rivadavia 1-1 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 7 May 2026

📅07/05/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.43
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.52
6+ Goals
8%
24.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.35
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1
8%
4.97
X/2
11%
6.33
X/X
14%
3.8
2/1
11%
31.0
2/2
12%
4.88
2/X
10%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +59%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
Crosses 9.6
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fluminense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.80 xG 1.27
29% Ball Possession 71%
7 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 1
165 Passes 535
67% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 1
16.04.2026 Fluminense Fluminense 1-2 HT 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
1-1
AWAY Fluminense
1.59 xG 0.86
28% Ball Possession 72%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
159 Passes 551
72% Pass Accuracy 90%
17 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Rivadavia and Fluminense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente Rivadavia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Independiente Rivadavia had 28% of the ball to Fluminense's 72%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.59 to 0.86.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Fluminense?

Independiente Rivadavia 1-1 Fluminense in the Copa Libertadores on 07/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Rivadavia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 41%, draw 29%, Fluminense 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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