Diriangen 3-1 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 7 May 2026

📅07/05/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.47
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
63%
+1.7pp
17%
Draw
20%
-3.2pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diriangen EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 20%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +24%
2.32/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.46
+26% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diriangen
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Matagalpa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2026 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-1 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
09.04.2026 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-3 HT 0-0 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
08.02.2026 Diriangen Diriangen 1-1 HT 0-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
23.10.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 2-2 HT 0-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
10.08.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 0-2 HT 0-2 Diriangen Diriangen NİK
05.05.2025 Diriangen Diriangen 2-0 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diriangen
3-1
AWAY Matagalpa
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Diriangen vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriangen beat Matagalpa 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Diriangen as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Diriangen had 53% of the ball to Matagalpa's 47%, shots finished 16-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diriangen had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Diriangen and 0.83 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Diriangen vs Matagalpa?

Diriangen 3-1 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 07/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diriangen vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diriangen win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Diriangen 65%, draw 17%, Matagalpa 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriangen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Diriangen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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