Real Esteli 3-1 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 7 May 2026

📅07/05/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.43
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.03
Over 2.5
61%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.9
No
42%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-1.4pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.2pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
45%
-6.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
55%
+6.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.9pp
42%
BTTS No
51%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa EU Bookmakers 16%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.61/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.47
-19% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
454 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Esteli
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Jalapa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
03.05.2026 Jalapa Jalapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
06.03.2026 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-1 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
02.02.2026 Jalapa Jalapa 2-2 HT 1-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
20.10.2025 Jalapa Jalapa 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
07.11.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 5-1 HT 3-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
28.01.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
POST-MATCH Real Esteli vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli saw off Jalapa 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Real Esteli and 1.17 for Jalapa.

What was the final score of Real Esteli vs Jalapa?

Real Esteli 3-1 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 07/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Esteli vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Real Esteli 64%, draw 18%, Jalapa 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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7 May 2026
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