Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Nassr Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Shabab Riyadh v Al Nassr — Team-Based Signals
Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Nassr Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-5
HT 1-3
Al Nassr
SAKK
4-0
HT 3-0
Al Shabab Riyadh
SUUD
Al Shabab Riyadh 2-4 Al Nassr — Actual Match Statistics
Al Nassr got the better of Al Shabab Riyadh 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 44% of the ball to Al Nassr's 56%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.25 to 3.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 3.17 for Al Nassr.
What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Nassr?
Al Shabab Riyadh 2-4 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 07/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Nassr?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 15%, draw 16%, Al Nassr 69%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.