Fildişi Sahili 1-0 Gabon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 7 Jun 2024

📅07/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.34
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 26% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.2pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.5pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fildişi Sahili EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Gabon EU Bookmakers 15%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.08/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.76
+19% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.5
Crosses 9.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fildişi Sahili
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Gabon
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 0.62
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 2
376 Passes 223
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
34 Box Touches 8
32 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
05.09.2017 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili 1-2 HT 0-2 Gabon Gabon DKE
02.09.2017 Gabon Gabon 0-3 HT 0-0 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili DKE
04.06.2016 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili 2-1 HT 0-0 Gabon Gabon HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fildişi Sahili
1-0
AWAY Gabon
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fildişi Sahili vs Gabon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fildişi Sahili nicked a narrow win over Gabon 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fildişi Sahili as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fildişi Sahili had 51% of the ball to Gabon's 49%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fildişi Sahili had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fildişi Sahili and 1.00 for Gabon.

What was the final score of Fildişi Sahili vs Gabon?

Fildişi Sahili 1-0 Gabon in the World Cup Qualifiers on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fildişi Sahili vs Gabon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fildişi Sahili win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Fildişi Sahili 55%, draw 27%, Gabon 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fildişi Sahili), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fildişi Sahili) ✓ BTTS No
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