Çekya 7-1 Malta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Jun 2024

Çekya
7-1 HT 2-0
Malta
📅07/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.28
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
19%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.19
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.58 — our 26% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.41
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
24.85
X/1 EV+ ✗
30%
3.41
X/2
4%
24.85
X/X
6%
7.82
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
6%
20.45
2/X
8%
25.5
Value flag · X/1 at 3.41 — our 30% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Çekya win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
74%
-11.1pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.3pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+6.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.9pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çekya EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Malta EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
3.32/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.58
+46% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +37%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
455 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.0
Crosses 9.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çekya
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Malta
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
27.05.2016 Çekya Çekya 6-0 HT 3-0 Malta Malta HAZ
12.10.2012 Çekya Çekya 3-1 HT 1-1 Malta Malta DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çekya
7-1
AWAY Malta
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
314 Passes 188
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Çekya vs Malta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çekya cruised past Malta 7-1. Half-time: 2-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Çekya as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Çekya had 61% of the ball to Malta's 39%, shots finished 20-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Çekya had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for Çekya and 0.50 for Malta.

What was the final score of Çekya vs Malta?

Çekya 7-1 Malta in the Friendlies on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çekya vs Malta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çekya win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Çekya 63%, draw 22%, Malta 16%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çekya), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çekya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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