Hırvatistan U21 2-3 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Jun 2024

📅07/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.05
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.09
6+ Goals
9%
9.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 28% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hırvatistan U21 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.35/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.07
-79% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +49%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hırvatistan U21
2-3
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hırvatistan U21 vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 nicked a narrow win over Hırvatistan U21 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hırvatistan U21 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hırvatistan U21 had 56% of the ball to İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21's 44%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of Hırvatistan U21 vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21?

Hırvatistan U21 2-3 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 in the Friendlies on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hırvatistan U21 vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hırvatistan U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hırvatistan U21 48%, draw 25%, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti U21 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hırvatistan U21)
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