Belarus 0-4 Rusya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Jun 2024

📅07/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
-0.6pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belarus EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rusya EU Bookmakers 52%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.29/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.08
-77% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
332 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belarus
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rusya
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners
07.06.2015 Rusya Rusya 4-2 HT 1-0 Belarus Belarus HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belarus
0-4
AWAY Rusya
0.17 xG 2.44
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
295 Passes 535
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
6 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Belarus vs Rusya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rusya ran out comfortable winners over Belarus 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rusya as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Belarus had 39% of the ball to Rusya's 61%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.17 to 2.44.

What was the final score of Belarus vs Rusya?

Belarus 0-4 Rusya in the Friendlies on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belarus vs Rusya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rusya win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Belarus 26%, draw 30%, Rusya 44%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rusya) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rusya) ✗ Under 2.5
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