Moldova U19 2-2 Kazakistan U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Jun 2024

📅07/06/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.49
No
53%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
63%
-15.9pp
53%
BTTS No
37%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moldova U19 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kazakistan U19 EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
459 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moldova U19
2-2
AWAY Kazakistan U19
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Moldova U19 vs Kazakistan U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moldova U19 and Kazakistan U19 shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Moldova U19 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Moldova U19 had 50% of the ball to Kazakistan U19's 50%, shots finished 6-9.

What was the final score of Moldova U19 vs Kazakistan U19?

Moldova U19 2-2 Kazakistan U19 in the Friendlies on 07/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moldova U19 vs Kazakistan U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moldova U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Moldova U19 45%, draw 24%, Kazakistan U19 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Moldova U19), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moldova U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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