Gualberto Villarroel SJ 5-1 Oriente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 7 Jul 2025

📅07/07/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.9pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 23%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.74/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.34
+63% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 74%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
14.0 Crosses 19.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.04 xG 1.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
264 Passes 214
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 4
02.12.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 4-2 HT 2-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
03.08.2024 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-0 HT 0-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
15.03.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-0 HT 0-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
04.03.2024 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-3 HT 1-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
5-1
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
2.27 xG 0.19
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 6
313 Passes 284
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 5
19 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gualberto Villarroel SJ cruised past Oriente Petrolero 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gualberto Villarroel SJ as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gualberto Villarroel SJ had 53% of the ball to Oriente Petrolero's 47%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.27 to 0.19.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Oriente Petrolero led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Gualberto Villarroel SJ and 2.00 for Oriente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero?

Gualberto Villarroel SJ 5-1 Oriente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 07/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Oriente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gualberto Villarroel SJ 50%, draw 22%, Oriente Petrolero 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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