Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 Ansan Greeners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.8pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 19%
-14% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +18%
2.23/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.75
-25% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
21.7 Crosses 10.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Ansan Greeners
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
373 Passes 340
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2026 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-3 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
08.10.2025 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-1 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
15.08.2025 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-2 HT 0-2 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
26.04.2025 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 3-0 HT 1-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
14.09.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
21.07.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1-1
AWAY Ansan Greeners
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Ansan Greeners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa and Ansan Greeners couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Asan Mugunghwa at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asan Mugunghwa had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 0.33 for Ansan Greeners.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Ansan Greeners?

Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 Ansan Greeners in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Ansan Greeners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 59%, draw 24%, Ansan Greeners 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
7 Aug 2026
14:00 Gimpo Citizen vs Cheongju FC Analysis →
14:00 Gyeongnam FC vs Daegu Analysis →
14:00 Hwaseong vs Seoul E-Land Analysis →
14:00 Yongin vs Busan I Park Analysis →
14:00 Suwon Bluewings vs Gimhae City Analysis →