Gamba Osaka 4-3 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.87
6+ Goals
11%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.37
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
12%
5.21
X/2
15%
6.33
X/X
11%
4.26
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
15%
4.58
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.82/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.23
+8% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
17.3 Crosses 15.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gamba Osaka
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 0.77
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
392 Passes 415
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.09.2025 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
06.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
14.09.2024 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
20.04.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
24.09.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-3 HT 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
10.09.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 HT 1-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gamba Osaka
4-3
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
0.98 xG 2.56
12 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
384 Passes 213
23 Box Touches 34
20 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gamba Osaka vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gamba Osaka squeezed past Urawa Red Diamonds 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Gamba Osaka made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 0.98 to 2.56 — the balance of chances actually favoured Urawa Red Diamonds.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gamba Osaka and 1.17 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of Gamba Osaka vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Gamba Osaka 4-3 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gamba Osaka vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gamba Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gamba Osaka 38%, draw 25%, Urawa Red Diamonds 37%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gamba Osaka), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gamba Osaka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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