Yokohama F. Marinos 3-4 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒13:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
48%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.52
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.45
6+ Goals
10%
23.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.01
1/2
10%
30.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
11%
6.44
X/2
12%
4.9
X/X
8%
3.98
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
27%
3.29
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.3pp
22%
Draw
29%
-7.1pp
48%
Away Win
41%
+7.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.39/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.19
+32% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 79%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
16.7 Crosses 18.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.26 xG 0.97
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
219 Passes 376
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2026 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
14.02.2026 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
06.12.2025 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-1 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
25.05.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 3-1 HT 3-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
14.07.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 HT 1-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
01.06.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-2 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
3-4
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.42 xG 3.47
11 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 9
173 Passes 474
17 Box Touches 41
11 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers nicked a narrow win over Yokohama F. Marinos 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kashima Antlers as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 1.42 to 3.47 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kashima Antlers's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.50 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers?

Yokohama F. Marinos 3-4 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 30%, draw 22%, Kashima Antlers 48%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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