Peterborough Sports 0-2 Brackley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.64
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 35% vs market 33.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.19/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.01
-9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough Sports
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Brackley Town
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Brackley Town Brackley Town 3-1 HT 2-1 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
28.08.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 0-3 HT 0-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
04.02.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 2-0 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
01.11.2022 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough Sports
0-2
AWAY Brackley Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Brackley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town saw off Peterborough Sports 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brackley Town as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Peterborough Sports had 54% of the ball to Brackley Town's 46%, shots finished 8-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Brackley Town led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Peterborough Sports and 2.00 for Brackley Town.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Brackley Town?

Peterborough Sports 0-2 Brackley Town in the England - Conference on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Brackley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 33%, draw 24%, Brackley Town 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brackley Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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