Swindon Supermarine 5-0 Poole Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.23
Over Pick
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
15%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
38%
+8.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-6.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.8pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Supermarine EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Poole Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.88/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.80
+21% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Supermarine
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Poole Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
31.08.2024 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 1-1 HT 0-1 Poole Town Poole Town FAK
23.01.2024 Poole Town Poole Town 1-0 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
05.08.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 2-7 HT 2-4 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
19.04.2023 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine 2-1 HT 0-1 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
07.02.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
29.01.2022 Poole Town Poole Town 2-1 HT 2-1 Swindon Supermarine Swindon Supermarine İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Swindon Supermarine vs Poole Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Supermarine cruised past Poole Town 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Swindon Supermarine as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Poole Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Swindon Supermarine and 2.33 for Poole Town.

What was the final score of Swindon Supermarine vs Poole Town?

Swindon Supermarine 5-0 Poole Town in the England - Non League Premier on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Supermarine vs Poole Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Supermarine win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Swindon Supermarine 47%, draw 22%, Poole Town 31%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swindon Supermarine), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swindon Supermarine) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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